Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 3.409863 3.992247 4.662022 5.493361 6.503163 7.697055 9.225907
2025-01-19 2.485774 3.196295 4.109311 5.385206 7.148774 9.540326 13.098234
2025-01-26 2.164882 2.965001 4.074108 5.758858 8.316345 12.159951 18.586459
2025-02-02 1.910872 2.749443 3.983609 5.988984 9.278385 14.672302 24.661522
2025-02-09 1.732828 2.600435 3.944925 6.262525 10.336788 17.572313 32.324761
2025-02-16 1.556076 2.418764 3.814997 6.346584 11.073742 20.085102 40.142148
2025-02-23 1.418538 2.275709 3.718605 6.458919 11.871494 22.906787 49.653896
2025-03-02 1.277517 2.105087 3.545656 6.393322 12.301679 25.091313 58.595453
2025-03-09 1.184807 2.004299 3.478816 6.512486 13.128111 28.358419 71.652694
2025-03-16 1.082343 1.872319 3.334513 6.448529 13.541606 30.789162 83.591546
2025-03-23 0.998723 1.764472 3.220372 6.425232 14.039715 33.577548 98.010380
2025-03-30 0.914803 1.646218 3.069947 6.297016 14.258882 35.707774 111.477711
2025-04-06 0.852164 1.572353 3.020055 6.436677 15.322189 40.972541 141.101814
2025-04-13 0.769711 1.451307 2.860327 6.305889 15.697440 44.562835 168.227813
2025-04-20 0.744014 1.441405 2.934807 6.755716 17.821690 54.761305 234.316308
2025-04-27 0.707505 1.403387 2.940262 7.033195 19.551845 64.634023 311.698223
2025-05-04 0.677591 1.375243 2.963261 7.363470 21.579781 76.912705 421.252397
2025-05-11 0.637033 1.318021 2.908049 7.465058 22.900445 87.227955 536.564417
2025-05-18 0.602386 1.269828 2.867410 7.600885 24.408022 99.488961 691.503501
2025-05-25 0.560686 1.200187 2.762565 7.521560 25.103124 108.452553 839.841276
2025-06-01 0.533259 1.161242 2.731218 7.665681 26.743714 123.677154 1091.077068
2025-06-08 0.498974 1.101760 2.637165 7.588318 27.464454 134.512395 1329.137899
2025-06-15 0.469854 1.051876 2.562305 7.560145 28.404840 147.624583 1645.944945